This is a familiar sight for Red Sox fans the last 2 or 3 years. He looks lost, he looks old, he looks finished. But is he? Lets think about this logically:
David Ortiz was the scariest hitter in MLB for a good 3 years, possibly more. Assuming that steroids have a major impact on the player's performance I would have to say that that must have the most major impact on his decline in performance. Do i think that taking steroids makes you a better baseball player? Absolutely not. Steroids make you a better athlete however. Steroids allow you to train hard and put the rigors of a long season on your body and recover quickly from injuries and fatigue. Im sure it allows you to play harder too. Swing harder, run harder, throw harder, with significantly reduced risk of injury. If you look at Ortiz's career with Minnesota, you will see he was not very effective while playing first base full time. Why? he has bad knees. He is not the most trim and fit fellow so he couldnt go up to the plate in the late innings after playing first base all day and probably the day before and expect to put a good swing on theball. I am not a professional athlete so this is pure speculation by the way. I think I'm right though. The last year of his Minnesota tenure brought his best statistical season of his short career. Many players do this. They have a rookie contract (or regular contract for that matter) and in the last year put up huge numbers in hopes of attracting a big contract in the following offseason. Judging by his on-base-percentage (OBP) it seems like he has always had a good eye at the plate. He never really had a great offensive season in terms of HR or RBI or even batting average until he got to Boston. Fenway Park is much tougher ball park for left handed hitters than the old Minnesota (indoor) stadium was, so you can't say that he had a Mike Lowell-esque resurgence (sp?). It had to be the juice.
I'm sure having Future Hall of Famer Manny Ramirez hitting behind him helped in getting him better pitches to hit, but I really dont think it was the reason he did SO well and the reason he is no longer the feared hitter that he used to be. I mean c'mon Sox fans, do you really expect a guy with that kind of weight and poor athletic ability to keep up 45+ for more than 3-5 years?!?! Homeboy had 28 last year and basically took the first half of the season off!
Did Ortiz take steroids? yes. Did Ortiz benefit from having one of the best right handed hitters in the last 50 years (definately top 5) hitting behind him? yes. But I saw a little of the game yesterday against Minnesota that leads me to believe that Ortiz just flat out isnt the same player any more. He doesnt have the swagger, that fearlessness that he had for a couple of years. Am I saying that he cant be an effective hitter and solid hitter? NO. is he going to hit 45 homers and 100+ RBI in the #3 hole? no. Heres what I saw:
everyone knows that the way to get Ortiz out now is to pound him inside. Im not saying anything new, pitchers have seen this for almost 2 seasons. Ortiz a couple of years ago owned the inside of the plate, and you were a fool to throw anything near the plate in general. Except you had Manny Ramirez up next and HAD to pitch to Ortiz. But here is something I saw that changed my opinion of Ortiz. The pitcher (whose name I cannot remember. It was in the later innings though, 8th or 9th) left a juicy fastball right over the center of the plate. Ortiz fouled it off. I mean this was a pitch that Pedroia and Youkilis would have blistered. It happens. Hitting a baseball is hard to do and you are going to miss those now and then. I mean we are talking about a sport here that if you are sucessful only 3 out of 10 at bats, you are a freakin hall of famer (.300 batting average)!! The difference was that 4 years ago if Ortiz had fouled off that pitch he was angry. He couldnt believe that he missed it, he was livid at himself. He probably said to himself "What the fuck David, how could you miss that?!?!?!". Then got up there and said to himself "pull that shit again motherfucker and see what happens to you". and he was right. the pitcher did that again and the ball was headed into the seats faster than it had been served up to him. His demeanor yesterday told me that he was upset that he missed it, and he got up there and said "boy i hope that happens again cuz i really could use an easy pitch to hit". His swagger is gone and that same fearlessness he had in '05 is apparently lost.
Dont give up yet Red Sox fans. He still is in the last year of his current contract and we know how players perform then. We are two weeks into the season and he has gotten off to a slow start. I say put him twords the bottom of the lineup and let him feel less pressure. He will be fine. I predict a .260 batting average with 32 home runs and 94 RBI. Pretty freakin good for a #6 hitter.